Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 8.435939 9.897294 11.497618 13.375049 15.511790 17.862412 20.638293
2025-11-30 6.158299 8.179754 10.630555 13.794352 17.741214 22.471367 28.534495
2025-12-07 4.869356 7.141837 10.126339 14.271727 19.809341 26.872617 36.470424
2025-12-14 3.767831 6.036935 9.233982 13.963198 20.655565 29.642937 42.448672
2025-12-21 2.961692 5.146797 8.428119 13.561735 21.201734 31.926461 47.835253
2025-12-28 2.605407 4.849045 8.402338 14.223148 23.246006 36.367589 56.459596
2026-01-04 2.279674 4.528925 8.274057 14.676735 24.978888 40.448207 64.819276
2026-01-11 1.943585 4.121253 7.931177 14.721436 26.046895 43.579328 71.953464
2026-01-18 1.666804 3.764498 7.612701 14.746423 27.050926 46.643906 79.144658
2026-01-25 1.386798 3.343819 7.112919 14.384069 27.354310 48.593258 84.689865
2026-02-01 1.160031 2.983483 6.666084 14.048460 27.645643 50.506963 90.254396
2026-02-08 0.956414 2.628491 6.172384 13.555913 27.594640 51.819734 94.884350
2026-02-15 0.761517 2.260182 5.617129 12.922622 27.315332 52.875848 99.436707
2026-02-22 0.684048 2.161096 5.619730 13.410820 29.193486 57.855521 111.057804
2026-03-01 0.615480 2.068055 5.619945 13.892141 31.101417 63.023733 123.338958
2026-03-08 0.509230 1.842915 5.276702 13.593509 31.440436 65.366455 130.787790
2026-03-15 0.416722 1.628432 4.916728 13.201766 31.538205 67.248404 137.501770
2026-03-22 0.386692 1.597400 5.009010 13.848122 33.838993 73.432338 152.411165
2026-03-29 0.350936 1.537472 5.015446 14.291393 35.743204 78.968774 166.418221
2026-04-05 0.304650 1.426822 4.865047 14.335081 36.780670 82.870870 177.561126
2026-04-12 0.264265 1.323687 4.715774 14.359502 37.771463 86.734036 188.828939
2026-04-19 0.219034 1.184735 4.434298 14.005393 37.865627 88.779464 196.679056
2026-04-26 0.181793 1.062724 4.177623 13.677447 37.981381 90.863279 204.700797